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Nasdaq-100 vs Silver: which won?

Nasdaq-100 crushed Silver since 2004 — about 4.2× as much.

Nasdaq-100

Winner

$18,070

18.1× · +14.5%/yr

silver

Runner-up

$4,294

4.29× · +7.6%/yr

$1,000 lump sum · end of 20042024

20042026

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Head to head

Nasdaq-100silver
$1,000 would be$18,070$4,294
Total return18.1×4.29×
Annual return+14.5%+7.6%
Best single year+16% (2026)+84% (2010)
Worst single year−16% (2008)−35% (2013)
Deepest drop−50.0%−55.3%
The rideRemarkably smooth rideBumpy road

The story

Put $1,000 into each at the end of 2004 and leave it alone. By the latest data, the Nasdaq-100 stake is worth about $18,070 — a 18.1× return, or roughly +14.5% a year. The same money in Silver grew to about $4,294 (4.29×). Nasdaq-100 wins this window decisively: about 4.2× as much, or about $13,776 more on the same $1,000.

The lead didn't come on the same road. Silver's path was a bumpy road, while Nasdaq-100 was a remarkably smooth ride. So Nasdaq-100 managed to win while also handing investors the calmer ride of the two — the rarer combination.

Neither was a straight line. Nasdaq-100's ugliest calendar year was −16% (2008) and its worst peak-to-trough fall reached −50.0%, recovered by 2010. Silver bottomed at −35% (2013) with a deepest drop of −55.3%. If you'd sold in the worst of it, none of the headline numbers above would have been yours.

Those are nominal dollars. Prices rose about 74.2% over the same stretch, so the real, spending-power gain is smaller than the multiple suggests for both. And this is one start year out of many — pick a different year and the result can flip. Past performance never predicts the future; this is a history lesson, not advice. Run your own year and amount below.

Common questions

Was Nasdaq-100 or Silver a better investment since 2004?
Over 2004–2024, Nasdaq-100 was the better investment: $1,000 grew to about $18,070 (18.1×), versus about $4,294 (4.29×) for Silver — about 4.2× as much.
How much would $1,000 in Nasdaq-100 be worth versus Silver?
Starting at the end of 2004, $1,000 in Nasdaq-100 would be worth about $18,070 today, and in Silver about $4,294 — a difference of roughly $13,776 on the same stake.
Which was more volatile, Nasdaq-100 or Silver?
Silver was the wilder ride — bumpy road — with a deepest fall of −55.3%, while Nasdaq-100 was remarkably smooth ride (deepest fall −50.0%).
Did Nasdaq-100 always beat Silver?
No. This compares a single start year (2004, the first both have data for). Different entry years — especially buying after a crash versus near a peak — can change or even reverse the winner. Use the calculator to test any year.

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