How much would I haveif…

Vice · a habit, redirected

If the parlays had been deposits

No judgment, no going without — just the quiet math of the same money, moved somewhere it could grow.

$20 a week on bets, set aside since 2015

$11,044 spent

could have grown into

$23,822

in the S&P 500 · grew 2.16× · +116%

20152026

This isn't a lecture about gambling. It's a simple thought experiment: take the money a steady betting habit costs — say twenty dollars a week — and imagine it had gone into a broad index fund instead, on the same schedule, for the same years. Nothing else changes. You don't earn more or spend less; the dollars just land somewhere that compounds.

The growth you see came from the asset, not from the act of quitting. Redirecting the money is the only move; the market does the rest. To see how steady, small contributions add up, read dollar-cost averaging, or run the live numbers on the S&P 500 since 2015.

The same $87/mo, across assets

Bitcoin
$201,816
gold
$27,244
S&P 500
$23,822

Only assets with data for the whole window — no unearned head starts.

Not your number? Change the spend, the asset, or the year and watch it move.

You'd have

$23,822

from $11,044 set aside up 116%.

Multiple2.16×
Per year14.0%
In today's $$16,959
shares held32.12 shares
20152026

— — — dashed line = total cash you put in

Common questions

Does this assume I stop betting?
It assumes the same dollars are redirected into an index fund on the same schedule. The point isn't willpower or moralizing — it's what that money could have grown into if it compounded instead of being spent.
Where does the growth come from?
From the asset, not from the act of quitting. Quitting just frees the money; the market is what makes it grow. Past performance never predicts the future, and this is a historical what-if, not advice.

Related